Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 11.343083 13.041078 14.858493 16.942943 19.261881 21.756755 24.638064
2025-10-05 9.155162 11.472474 14.124688 17.363387 21.188803 25.540066 30.839142
2025-10-12 7.777084 10.412056 13.584811 17.642897 22.648007 28.569586 36.051146
2025-10-19 6.707216 9.511495 13.038648 17.729818 23.726832 31.053119 40.586894
2025-10-26 5.665394 8.485660 12.181430 17.277720 24.008604 32.471495 43.776487
2025-11-02 4.872572 7.680934 11.503440 16.950881 24.359393 33.915050 46.976335
2025-11-09 4.209328 6.970416 10.867141 16.594934 24.599401 35.168352 49.919313
2025-11-16 3.667211 6.368306 10.314605 16.287055 24.847463 36.397056 52.826893
2025-11-23 3.155258 5.749622 9.673970 15.787387 24.769751 37.144782 55.074293
2025-11-30 2.861261 5.439223 9.458497 15.877380 25.509531 39.015816 58.886531
2025-12-07 2.595680 5.143980 9.235918 15.929349 26.177747 40.790098 62.600235
2025-12-14 2.385112 4.917494 9.098592 16.092572 27.002390 42.798021 66.686334
2025-12-21 2.156738 4.638016 8.856882 16.080903 27.568899 44.465673 70.364825
2025-12-28 2.027445 4.523969 8.878551 16.486412 28.785433 47.118076 75.537882
2026-01-04 1.887324 4.373053 8.822422 16.754323 29.788880 49.476057 80.337487
2026-01-11 1.732098 4.174472 8.664967 16.837633 30.493555 51.396449 84.532891
2026-01-18 1.518939 3.833361 8.223013 16.404356 30.336675 51.987055 86.743759
2026-01-25 1.346089 3.553177 7.866843 16.091178 30.350536 52.825759 89.334124
2026-02-01 1.189030 3.285893 7.510510 15.750160 30.292916 53.537538 91.734102
2026-02-08 1.054428 3.050139 7.193278 15.455240 30.291065 54.325029 94.257168
2026-02-15 0.915834 2.784811 6.792653 14.976696 29.943870 54.536393 95.872089
2026-02-22 0.845688 2.674635 6.697082 15.062875 30.578427 56.348472 100.045041
2026-03-01 0.778457 2.562413 6.587219 15.112644 31.145788 58.060635 104.093784